The watch includes almost all of eastern Oklahoma. This could really feel like early summer and you will hear people say 'that it "feels" like a storm is coming'.
Storms are expected to form over Kansas late in the afternoon and maintain strength as they pass over Kansas City after 7 p.m. This will support more of a damaging wind and large hail threat. While some details remain uncertain, it appears increasing likely that a significant tornado threat will exist in this region by midweek.
The Lehigh Valley will get a reprieve from the warmth as rain moves into the area this weekend. That means that the main threat from this line will be strong winds and small hail. Usually when talking widespread severe weather, you need to be able to tap into surface conditions. Dewpoints in the 60s F will exist south of the cold front, and east of a dryline that will extend from central Kansas into west central Texas. The Watch extends west to Rabbit Ears Pass where heavy snow is expected by late Wednesday.
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Further north in Kansas, multiple tornadoes were reported across the central and northern parts of the state with only minor damage reported. Wednesday is a Storm Team 12 Weather Alert Day due to the severe storm threat. "Slight" is the second-lowest risk category and "marginal" is the lowest used by the SPC. On Tuesday, the activity moves into the Central Plains.
Ahead of the severe weather it will suddenly feel like summer for the Midwest and Northeast. All modes of severe weather are possible including isolated tornadoes once again. Some of the storms could be severe. Known as a "Bermuda High", it's the same high pressure responsible for prolonged heat waves in the eastern part of the country during the summer months. Highs in low 70s with clouds gradually clearing and breezy and gusty conditions W 10-20 miles per hour gusting 30-40 miles per hour. "Rainfall may be heavy at times and some locations could see more than 2" of rain.
Thursday night: A 90 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, low around 52.
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Overall, Wednesday into Wednesday night looks to be the most active for us. "A few storms could be severe, with some hail and damaging wind gusts". With the strong May sunshine for Friday afternoon, we climb back to the mid 70s over the entire viewing area with similar readings on Saturday. North wind 5 to 10 miles per hour.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy - low around 57. A north northwest wind will be around 10 miles per hour. Most of the rain should be gone by the afternoon on Saturday.
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